Thursday Night Breakdown - Week 6
Unless Eli gets handed back the starting job for one game to beat the Patriots, I don’t think we’re in for a good game this Thursday. With Shepard, Barkley, Gallman, and potentially Evan Engram all ruled out thus far there isn’t much to discuss on the Giants side of the ball. So this weeks Thursday Night Breakdown will be a full discussion on the New England Patriots (kind of joking).
Tom Brady – The Giants have allowed the 8th most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season so far. Brady is throwing the ball an average of 37 times a game, and he was ninth in the NFL going into week 4. He’ll be a high end QB1 in the first half before the Patriots run the ball. Start him with full confidence.
Daniel Jones – Bill Belichick against a rookie quarterback, without his two best weapons in the passing game, plus the fact that the Patriots are currently giving up the least amount of fantasy points per game to the QB, sit Daniel Jones. There are plenty of streaming options, such as Andy Dalton, Dak Prescott, and even Gardner Minshew.
Sony Michel / Rex Burkhead / James White / Brandon Bolden – The Giants have allowed an average of 24.1 FPPG to apposing team running backs on the season. This could be in part to how abysmal they are at defending through the air. White, as always is a flex play especially if Burkhead misses more time. Michel finally had his get right game against Washington and should see a positive game script as the Patriots close out this game in garbage time, start him as a mid-range RB2 with upside. Bolden can serve as a GPP play if you do the Thursday slates, his price should be cheap, and he’s had a touchdown in each of the last two games.
Jon Hillman – He’s the last man remaining, Gallman and Barkley are both ruled out for this week. If you need to start someone, he should have volume. The Giants could give Elijhaa Penny some of the workload as well, but there should be a negative game script so how much volume are you getting on the ground? Hillman only had 2 targets in the Minnesota game after Gallman went down and Penny saw 1. Neither back gets work in the passing game, so truthfully, I wouldn’t start either this week.
Julian Edelman / Josh Gordon – The Giants have allowed the fourth most fantasy points on the season. We’ve seen Mike Evans, Adam Thielen, and John Brown all have high end WR1 performances this season against this secondary. Both players are dealing with some injuries but expect the Pats to spread the ball around and not focus on one of the two to ‘pad stats’. Both are high end WR2s this week and are to be started with confidence.
Golden Tate / Darius Slayton – Sterling Shepard is out for this game with another concussion, which means Tate has the slot to himself but will see Jonathan Jones in coverage who hasn’t allowed more than 5 fantasy points to slot receivers in coverage. If Slayton sees Gilmore in coverage, he’s a bench this week for sure. Neither receiver is startable this week, but if I had to pick one, I would start Golden Tate.
Ryan Izzo – Maybe if you need touchdown upside? No, I’d rather start Dallas Goddert in Phili than role him out this week. A GPP play maybe, but if you need a tight end there is other options.
Evan Engram – Trending to not play, if he does, I do not blame anyone for sitting him. Personally, I would still start him this week because the landscape isn’t good. With Barkley and Shepard also missing time he should see the bulk of the targets, but this is all speculation as he might not play.
Overall, fade any Giants player you can this week. The Patriots players will remain with value, assuming the defense doesn’t get them out to an early lead. A quick remind to move all your Thursday players into a starting roster spot, and out of your flex. Enjoy the game!