The Problem With Corey Davis
What if I told you that you could have the number one receiver on an NFL team, in the ninth round? You’re probably excited, but don’t get to excited. Corey Davis was tied for the second most drops in the NFL among wide receivers according to playerprofiler.com. That’s hot garbage. He’s currently being drafted near, Dede Westbrook, Marvin Jones, Geronimo Allison, and Larry Fitzgerald. Now all these receivers are not sure things. Jones and Allison most likely the number twos in their respective offenses. Larry is old, and we have no clue how Kingsbury is going to run things in town now, and Westbrook is likely the number one, but he has a new QB and a new OC. All these players are probably better draft picks than Corey Davis.
In Dynasty, yes Corey Davis is the better prospect, he’s young, talented, and maybe one day will get a good quarterback. This season though, we already know that the Titans are going to funnel their offense through Derick Henry. We got a taste of what this might look like the last four weeks of the 2018 season, and Davis got 3, 6, 5 and 7 targets in those games. That’s okay for what it is, but he caught 2, 3, 3 and 5 of those targets in those games respectfully. Even off 13 targets in week 1 (yes, the game that kept getting delayed) he only caught 6 of those targets.
No, I’m not saying Corey Davis can’t catch. He can, and he’s proven it. His targets don’t hold value though when they come from the quarterback who has only thrown more than 20 touchdowns one season in his career, and for a high of 3,426 yards. This is a bit over the top, but if we take that four game sample when Henry became the focal point of the Titans attack, and spread it over 16 games, we have 84 targets for Corey Davis, and if he catches half of them, he only has 42 receptions. That is not start able.
I do not agree with those who say talent dictates opportunity. If this was the case, Corey Davis would have performed much better in 2018, even with two garbage quarterbacks. His opportunity didn’t get better. The only way it does is if Ryan Tannehill takes over at some point in the season, but that doesn’t do a whole lot. I think Corey Davis is awesome, and we’ve seen flashes of that, multiple times. If the Titans run the ball like they we think they will though, you will never be able to confidently start Corey Davis and you’re better off with a different boom/bust pick in the ninth round